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日期:2025-07-03
For this example the Flaw of Averages states that: If you assume each year's growth at least equals the a ......
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日期:2025-07-03
In Declining (Low) Volatility = Rising (High) Complacency I said: "The VIX has a long-term average of abo ......
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Decisions based on average numbers are wrong on average. ... Consider the case of the statistician who dr ......
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日期:2025-06-30
If you have one foot in boiling water and one foot in ice, you’re not comfortable, are you? If you and a ......
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日期:2025-06-30
Fab.xls is an Excel worksheet set up to demonstrate the Flaw of Averages with the aid of Monte Carlo simu ......
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日期:2025-07-04
The Flaw of Averages, by Sam Savage, was a management book before I started reading it. The highest prais ......
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日期:2025-07-03
All models are wrong, some are useful. ... The flaw of averages defined in a book of the same name by Sam ......
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日期:2025-07-06
PUBLISHED SUNDAY, OCTOBER 8, 2000, IN THE SAN JOSE MERCURY NEWS ©2000 DR. SAM SAVAGE The Flaw of Averages ......